Hello. Um, my name's Grayson Badgley. That's G-r-a-y s-o-n
and Badgley is B-a-d-g-l-e-y. Lower my hand. All right. And I'll start my
comment. Uh, I want to first start by thanking ecology for the opportunity to
comment today. And I also want to take a m...↓
Um, Jordan, I know you've worked on this, um, very hard for a number of years,
and. Yeah, uh, I just it's worth recognizing all the hard work that I know has
gone into this. Um, I've been engaged with ecology for about two years in
developing the revisions to this forest protocol that are proposed in this rulemaking,
uh, that started with my participation on, uh, ecology's US Forest Offset
Protocol technical working group. Uh, and it's continued. Uh, the last two
rounds of informal comment of the draft versions of this proposed protocol.
I've submitted comments. I've spoken with Jordan on various occasions
throughout that process. I've relied on my training, my academic training as a
forest ecologist. I have a PhD in forest ecology and plant physiology and on my
expertise in the carbon markets, which I've been studying and researching for
the past several years. It's with that background that I can confidently say
that Ecology's proposed protocol fails to satisfy its statutory requirement
that its offsets are real and permanent. I think ecology has done some good
things. I think they really have made some steps to lower the likelihood of
issuing nonadditional credits, and I think it's great that there's going to be
spatially explicit risks. But when it comes to how the proposed protocol
specifies buffer pool contributions for wildfire and insect risk, uh, there's,
uh, some real scientific problems, in particular critical assumptions about the
maximum risk of wildfire loss at twelve percent and insect risk being capped at
eight percent over the next one hundred years. It has no basis in science. It
has no basis in the scientific literature. These assumptions were not discussed
in the various technical work, group meetings, and on multiple occasions I've
asked ecology where these numbers came from, and I really haven't had one yet.
Uh, there's equally arbitrary decisions that have been made around, um,
reductions in these risks from vegetation management plans. It's a fifty
percent reduction for vegetation management plans. That is written in the
protocol don't have. They're very ill defined. It doesn't even say the
vegetation management plan has to address specific insect risks. Uh, it's
started as an eighty percent reduction and now it's just a fifty percent
reduction. But where did those numbers come from? I don't know, but what I can
tell you is they do not come from the scientific literature. Combined together,
these two arbitrary decisions of capping risk and arbitrarily allowing for
reduction of those arbitrary risks means that we have no assurances that
offsets issued under this rule will be real or permanent, which is required by
statute. Thank you.
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